Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.003062 0.003205 0.003351 0.003512 0.003683 0.003860 0.004058
2025-02-23 0.002787 0.002999 0.003224 0.003481 0.003767 0.004076 0.004437
2025-03-02 0.002653 0.002910 0.003190 0.003518 0.003894 0.004313 0.004820
2025-03-09 0.002522 0.002808 0.003125 0.003505 0.003951 0.004462 0.005097
2025-03-16 0.002409 0.002715 0.003060 0.003482 0.003987 0.004579 0.005333
2025-03-23 0.002296 0.002614 0.002979 0.003431 0.003983 0.004642 0.005501
2025-03-30 0.002200 0.002529 0.002909 0.003389 0.003983 0.004705 0.005665
2025-04-06 0.002138 0.002479 0.002879 0.003390 0.004033 0.004829 0.005909
2025-04-13 0.002027 0.002365 0.002766 0.003284 0.003944 0.004771 0.005910
2025-04-20 0.001979 0.002327 0.002744 0.003288 0.003991 0.004887 0.006145
2025-04-27 0.001955 0.002317 0.002755 0.003335 0.004095 0.005079 0.006487
2025-05-04 0.001897 0.002262 0.002708 0.003302 0.004092 0.005128 0.006634
2025-05-11 0.001849 0.002219 0.002674 0.003288 0.004113 0.005211 0.006835
2025-05-18 0.001798 0.002170 0.002632 0.003261 0.004116 0.005268 0.007000
2025-05-25 0.001777 0.002158 0.002636 0.003295 0.004201 0.005441 0.007341
2025-06-01 0.001738 0.002122 0.002608 0.003283 0.004222 0.005525 0.007552
2025-06-08 0.001697 0.002082 0.002573 0.003261 0.004229 0.005586 0.007730
2025-06-15 0.001648 0.002031 0.002522 0.003215 0.004198 0.005592 0.007823
2025-06-22 0.001605 0.001986 0.002478 0.003176 0.004176 0.005608 0.007931
2025-06-29 0.001579 0.001963 0.002462 0.003177 0.004210 0.005709 0.008177
2025-07-06 0.001517 0.001891 0.002379 0.003080 0.004100 0.005588 0.008058
2025-07-13 0.001495 0.001872 0.002367 0.003084 0.004136 0.005689 0.008307
2025-07-20 0.001489 0.001874 0.002382 0.003127 0.004231 0.005885 0.008721